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      Analysis of Jordan Love’s 2023 Pass Distribution

      Jordan Love’s inaugural season as the starting quarterback for the Green Bay Packers has been widely regarded as a resounding success. Despite a slow start, the team’s offense gained momentum after their week 8 loss to the Vikings. The second half of the season saw Love finding his rhythm with young receivers, completing passes to an impressive total of 16 different players.

      Target Distribution

      Unlike many teams, the Packers didn’t have a clear WR1, as various players took on the lead role in different weeks. Romeo Doubs led in targets, closely followed by rookie Jayden Reed. However, injuries to key players like Christian Watson, Luke Musgrave, and Aaron Jones limited overall opportunities.

      PlayerTargets
      Romeo Doubs96
      Jayden Reed94
      Dontayvion Wicks58
      Christian Watson53
      Luke Musgrave46
      Aaron Jones43
      Tucker Kraft40
      AJ Dillon28
      Malik Heath24
      Bo Melton24
      Samori Toure18
      Patrick Taylor17
      Josiah Deguara8
      Ben Sims6
      Emanuel Wilson5
      James Robinson1

      Pass Target Distribution Around the NFL

      As mentioned above, Romeo Doubs was targeted a team high 96 times and was targeted 17% of the time but this number pales in comparison to leading targets on other high profile teams.

      Dolphins: Tyreek Hill (171) and Jaylen Waddle (104) had more targets.

      Cowboys: CeeDee Lamb (30%) and Jake Ferguson (17%) had over 100 targets each.

      Vikings: Three players had over 100 targets, including Justin Jefferson, despite playing only 10 games due to injuries.

      Watson’s Missed Opportunities

      Christian Watson battled injuries all year and was limited playing just nine games. Despite this, he still had the fourth most targets on the team and was tied with Dontayvion Wicks for third place with five touchdowns. There was a lot more meat on the bone too. Love and Watson only connected on 53% of his targets. For comparison sake, Doubs, Reed, and Wicks were all in the mid 60 percent. Some of this is due to Watson’s speed and being targeted on deep passes, which in general, have a lower probability of being completed. It will be interesting to see if he can stay healthy and if so, what he and Jordan can do in a full season.

      Targets By Position

      Love demonstrated a preference for throwing to wide receivers, ranking seventh in the league, while ranking 20th for passes to both running backs and tight ends.

      Passes to Running Backs

      Packers (94)

      Jets (160)

      Broncos (153)

      Passes to Tight Ends

      Packers (100)

      Vikings (179)

      Cardinals (179)

      Passes to Wide Receivers

      Packers (367)

      Bengals (387)

      Chargers (386)

      Aaron Rodgers 2022 vs Jordan Love 2023

      The major differences between Rodgers’ 2022 season and Love’s 2023 season include the use of running backs in the passing game. Rodgers targeted Jones and Dillon a combined 115 times, whereas Love threw to them only 71 times. Additionally, Rodgers had one primary tight end (Robert Tonyan), while Love utilized both Luke Musgrave and Tucker Kraft, who combined for 86 targets and 707 yards.

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